Prospect board, #363 overall
Kyle Heger
Defence, 19.0 years old, Lethbridge Hurricanes (WHL)
Odds he's an NHL regular
29%
Scouting report
Kyle Heger is an 18-year-old defenceman with Lethbridge Hurricanes in the WHL. He has 0 goals and 6 assists in 11 games, 0.55 a game, which works out to about 6 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate.
The model's median outcome for him is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 29% chance of becoming an NHL regular and 4% of a top-pair career. If he makes it, figure about 28 points a season at his best. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite1%
- Top-pair4%
- Second-pair14%
- Third-pair29%
- Tweener40%
- AHLer (most likely)61%
How he got there
1His line
0.55 P/GP
0 G, 6 A in 11 games, WHL
2League exchange rate
6 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−2%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
19.0
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Not yet eligible, judged on his numbers
6If he makes it
28 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Lethbridge Hurricanes | WHL | 11 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 0.55 |
| Last season | Lethbridge Hurricanes | WHL | 64 | 11 | 24 | 35 | 0.55 |