Prospect board, #1837 overall
Kyle McDonough
Centre, 19.6 years old, Portland Winterhawks (WHL)
Odds he's an NHL regular
2%
Scouting report
Kyle McDonough is a 19-year-old centre with Portland Winterhawks in the WHL, undrafted. He has 2 goals and 1 assist in 4 games, 0.75 a game, which works out to about 9 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 2.5 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. And the five best scorers around him average only 0.68 points a game. He's producing without much support, and the model bumps him up for it.
The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 2% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner<1%
- Middle-sixer<1%
- Fourth-liner2%
- Tweener2%
- AHLer18%
How he got there
1His line
0.75 P/GP
2 G, 1 A in 4 games, WHL
2League exchange rate
9 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+29%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
19.6
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
42 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Portland Winterhawks | WHL | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0.75 |
| Last season | Portland Winterhawks | WHL | 62 | 6 | 22 | 28 | 0.45 |