GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #950 overall

Landen McFadden

Centre, 19.1 years old, Moose Jaw Warriors (WHL)

Odds he's an NHL regular

8%

AHLer

Scouting report

Landen McFadden is a 19-year-old centre with Moose Jaw Warriors in the WHL, undrafted. He has 3 goals and 5 assists in 8 games, 1.00 a game, which works out to about 12 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate.

The model's median outcome for him is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him an 8% chance of becoming an NHL regular and 4% of a first-line career. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. First-liner4%
  3. Middle-sixer4%
  4. Fourth-liner8%
  5. Tweener9%
  6. AHLer (most likely)53%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    1.00 P/GP

    3 G, 5 A in 8 games, WHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    12 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    +12%

    Credit for a weak offence or thin help

  4. 4Age

    19.1

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    None

    Passed over, read as a pick after the last one

  6. 6If he makes it

    46 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonMoose Jaw WarriorsWHL83581.00
Last seasonMoose Jaw WarriorsWHL673236681.01