Prospect board, #5 overall
Landon DuPont
Defence, 17.3 years old, Everett Silvertips (WHL)
Odds he's an NHL regular
82%
Scouting report
Landon DuPont is a 17-year-old defenceman with Everett Silvertips in the WHL. He has 18 goals and 55 assists in 63 games, 1.16 a game, which works out to about 13 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Most of it is setting up other people. His team scores 4.5 a game, one of the better offences around. And the five best scorers around him average 1.38 points a game, well above the norm. Linemates like that pad a stat line, so the model takes some of his points back.
The model's median outcome for him is an elite player, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him an 82% chance of becoming an NHL regular, 65% of a top-pair career and 55% of turning into one of the league's best. If he makes it, figure about 52 points a season at his best. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. That is the top of this model's scale.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite (most likely)55%
- Top-pair65%
- Second-pair70%
- Third-pair82%
- Tweener87%
- AHLer92%
How he got there
1His line
1.16 P/GP
18 G, 55 A in 63 games, WHL
2League exchange rate
13 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−18%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
17.3
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Not yet eligible, judged on his numbers
6If he makes it
52 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last season | Everett Silvertips | WHL | 63 | 18 | 55 | 73 | 1.16 |