Prospect board, #1560 overall
Landon MacSwain
Left wing, 19.1 years old, Red Deer Rebels (WHL)
Odds he's an NHL regular
3%
Scouting report
Landon MacSwain is a 19-year-old left wing with Red Deer Rebels in the WHL, undrafted. He has 12 goals and 14 assists in 67 games, 0.39 a game, which works out to about 4 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 2.7 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. And the five best scorers around him average only 0.65 points a game. He's producing without much support, and the model bumps him up for it.
The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 3% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner<1%
- Middle-sixer2%
- Fourth-liner3%
- Tweener3%
- AHLer31%
How he got there
1His line
0.39 P/GP
12 G, 14 A in 67 games, WHL
2League exchange rate
5 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+31%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
19.1
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
45 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last season | Red Deer Rebels | WHL | 67 | 12 | 14 | 26 | 0.39 |