GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #1122 overall

Landon Sim

Forward, 22.2 years old, Toronto Marlies (AHL), 5′11″ 187 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

9%

Long shot

Scouting report

Landon Sim is a 22-year-old forward with Toronto Marlies in the AHL. He has 1 goal and 0 assists in 6 games, 0.17 a game, which works out to about 5 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. The five best scorers around him average 1.39 points a game, well above the norm. Some of those points come from the company he keeps, and the model discounts them. Listed at 5-foot-11 and 187 pounds.

His most likely outcome is a long shot, on a small sample. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 9% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a small sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. First-liner<1%
  3. Middle-sixer2%
  4. Fourth-liner9%
  5. Tweener13%
  6. AHLer44%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.17 P/GP

    1 G, 0 A in 6 games, AHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    5 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    −19%

    Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster

  4. 4Age

    22.2

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    None

    Passed over, read as a pick after the last one

  6. 6If he makes it

    31 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonToronto MarliesAHL61010.17
Last seasonToronto MarliesAHL133030.23