Prospect board, #1691 overall
Lee Shurgot
Centre, 19.5 years old, Prince George Cougars (WHL)
Odds he's an NHL regular
2%
Scouting report
Lee Shurgot is a 19-year-old centre with Prince George Cougars in the WHL, undrafted. He has 2 goals and 7 assists in 7 games, 1.29 a game, which works out to about 15 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Most of it is setting up other people. His team scores 1.6 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. And the five best scorers around him average only 0.63 points a game. Scoring without much help counts for more, so the model nudges him up.
The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 2% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner<1%
- Middle-sixer<1%
- Fourth-liner2%
- Tweener3%
- AHLer25%
How he got there
1His line
1.29 P/GP
2 G, 7 A in 7 games, WHL
2League exchange rate
15 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+40%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
19.5
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
43 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Prince George Cougars | WHL | 7 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 1.29 |
| Last season | Prince George Cougars | WHL | 68 | 8 | 29 | 37 | 0.54 |