Prospect board, #624 overall
Leon Kolarik
Left wing, 19.0 years old, Peterborough Petes (OHL), 5′11″ 175 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
17%
Scouting report
Leon Kolarik is an 18-year-old left wing with Peterborough Petes in the OHL. He has 6 goals and 5 assists in 12 games, 0.92 a game, which works out to about 11 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Most of it is goals. That is up from 0.65 a game last season. His team scores 3.2 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. Scoring without much help counts for more, so the model nudges him up. Listed at 5-foot-11 and 175 pounds.
His most likely outcome is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 17% chance of becoming an NHL regular. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner2%
- Middle-sixer11%
- Fourth-liner17%
- Tweener30%
- AHLer (most likely)51%
How he got there
1His line
0.92 P/GP
6 G, 5 A in 12 games, OHL
2League exchange rate
11 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+11%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
19.0
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Not yet eligible, judged on his numbers
6If he makes it
40 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Peterborough Petes | OHL | 12 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 0.92 |
| Last season | Peterborough Petes | OHL | 63 | 19 | 22 | 41 | 0.65 |