GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #770 overall

Leo Sahlin Wallenius

Defence, 20.4 years old, San Jose Barracuda (AHL), 6′0″ 180 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

21%

Long shot

Scouting report

Leo Sahlin Wallenius is a 20-year-old defenceman with San Jose Barracuda in the AHL. He has 0 goals and 2 assists in 6 games, 0.33 a game, which works out to about 11 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate.

At 20.4 he is among the youngest regulars in the league, and age matters more than any single stat in these projections. Listed at 6-foot-0 and 180 pounds. The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, on a small sample. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 21% chance of becoming an NHL regular. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a small sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. Top-pair<1%
  3. Second-pair2%
  4. Third-pair21%
  5. Tweener22%
  6. AHLer46%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.33 P/GP

    0 G, 2 A in 6 games, AHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    11 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    −5%

    Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster

  4. 4Age

    20.4

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    None

    Passed over, read as a pick after the last one

  6. 6If he makes it

    20 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonSan Jose BarracudaAHL60220.33