GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #2181 overall

Liam Bursaw

Centre, 19.7 years old, Moncton Wildcats (QMJHL), 6′0″ 165 lb, shoots right

Odds he's an NHL regular

1%

Long shot

Scouting report

Liam Bursaw is a 19-year-old centre with Moncton Wildcats in the QMJHL, undrafted. He has 1 goal and 2 assists in 10 games, 0.30 a game, which works out to about 3 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. At 19.7 he is old for the league, so the model expects him to outscore younger players and gives less credit for it. Listed at 6-foot-0 and 165 pounds.

The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, on a small sample. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 1% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a small sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. First-liner<1%
  3. Middle-sixer<1%
  4. Fourth-liner1%
  5. Tweener1%
  6. AHLer6%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.30 P/GP

    1 G, 2 A in 10 games, QMJHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    3 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    +2%

    Credit for a weak offence or thin help

  4. 4Age

    19.7

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    None

    Passed over, read as a pick after the last one

  6. 6If he makes it

    48 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonMoncton WildcatsQMJHL101230.30
Last seasonMoncton WildcatsQMJHL164150.31