Prospect board, #1514 overall
Liam Kilfoil
Centre, 19.5 years old, Moncton Wildcats (QMJHL), 5′11″ 185 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
4%
Scouting report
Liam Kilfoil is a 19-year-old centre with Moncton Wildcats in the QMJHL, undrafted. He has 6 goals and 7 assists in 10 games, 1.30 a game, which works out to about 12 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. That is up from 0.70 a game last season. His team scores 3.4 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. He's producing without much support, and the model bumps him up for it. Listed at 5-foot-11 and 185 pounds.
The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 4% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner1%
- Middle-sixer2%
- Fourth-liner4%
- Tweener5%
- AHLer24%
How he got there
1His line
1.30 P/GP
6 G, 7 A in 10 games, QMJHL
2League exchange rate
12 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+16%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
19.5
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
41 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Moncton Wildcats | QMJHL | 10 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 1.30 |
| Last season | Halifax Mooseheads | QMJHL | 56 | 14 | 25 | 39 | 0.70 |