Prospect board, #1340 overall
Liam Lefebvre
Right wing, 19.3 years old, Cape Breton Eagles (QMJHL), 6′3″ 200 lb, shoots right
Odds he's an NHL regular
6%
Scouting report
Liam Lefebvre is a 19-year-old right wing with Cape Breton Eagles in the QMJHL, undrafted. He has 5 goals and 5 assists in 8 games, 1.25 a game, which works out to about 12 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Most of it is goals. His team scores 3.1 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. Scoring without much help counts for more, so the model nudges him up. Listed at 6-foot-3 and 200 pounds.
The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 6% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner<1%
- Middle-sixer2%
- Fourth-liner6%
- Tweener8%
- AHLer31%
How he got there
1His line
1.25 P/GP
5 G, 5 A in 8 games, QMJHL
2League exchange rate
12 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+20%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
19.3
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
37 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Cape Breton Eagles | QMJHL | 8 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 1.25 |
| Last season | Chicoutimi Saguenéens | QMJHL | 59 | 32 | 27 | 59 | 1.00 |