Prospect board, #90 overall
Liam Pue
Right wing, 16.6 years old, Regina Pats (WHL)
Odds he's an NHL regular
51%
Scouting report
Liam Pue is a 16-year-old right wing with Regina Pats in the WHL. He has 7 goals and 6 assists in 9 games, 1.44 a game, which works out to about 17 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Most of it is goals. That is up from 0.47 a game last season.
At 16.6 he is among the youngest regulars in the league, and age matters more than any single stat in these projections. His most likely outcome is a fourth-liner, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 51% chance of becoming an NHL regular, 21% of a first-line career and 8% of turning into one of the league's best. If he makes it, figure about 49 points a season at his best. A fourth-line job tends to come from penalty killing and faceoffs more than from scoring.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite8%
- First-liner21%
- Middle-sixer34%
- Fourth-liner (most likely)51%
- Tweener60%
- AHLer77%
How he got there
1His line
1.44 P/GP
7 G, 6 A in 9 games, WHL
2League exchange rate
17 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−2%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
16.6
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Not yet eligible, judged on his numbers
6If he makes it
49 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Regina Pats | WHL | 9 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 1.44 |
| Last season | Regina Pats | WHL | 34 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 0.47 |