GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #2206 overall

Liam Storch

Right wing, 20.6 years old, Saginaw Spirit (OHL), 5′9″ 160 lb, shoots right

Odds he's an NHL regular

1%

Long shot

Scouting report

Liam Storch is a 20-year-old right wing with Saginaw Spirit in the OHL, undrafted. He has 2 goals and 5 assists in 49 games, 0.14 a game, which works out to about 2 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. At 20.6 he is old for the league, so the model expects him to outscore younger players and gives less credit for it. Listed at 5-foot-9 and 160 pounds.

The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 1% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. First-liner<1%
  3. Middle-sixer<1%
  4. Fourth-liner1%
  5. Tweener2%
  6. AHLer5%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.14 P/GP

    2 G, 5 A in 49 games, OHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    2 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    No change

    Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster

  4. 4Age

    20.6

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    None

    Passed over, read as a pick after the last one

  6. 6If he makes it

    32 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
Last seasonSaginaw SpiritOHL492570.14