Prospect board, #1017 overall
Louis-Alex Tremblay
Defence, 19.6 years old, Sherbrooke Phœnix (QMJHL), 5′10″ 193 lb, shoots right
Odds he's an NHL regular
11%
Scouting report
Louis-Alex Tremblay is a 19-year-old defenceman with Sherbrooke Phœnix in the QMJHL, undrafted. He has 1 goal and 7 assists in 10 games, 0.80 a game, which works out to about 7 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Most of it is setting up other people. His team scores 4.4 a game, one of the better offences around. Some of those points come from the company he keeps, and the model discounts them. Listed at 5-foot-10 and 193 pounds.
His most likely outcome is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him an 11% chance of becoming an NHL regular and 3% of a top-pair career. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- Top-pair3%
- Second-pair4%
- Third-pair11%
- Tweener12%
- AHLer31%
How he got there
1His line
0.80 P/GP
1 G, 7 A in 10 games, QMJHL
2League exchange rate
7 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−12%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
19.6
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
29 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Sherbrooke Phœnix | QMJHL | 10 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 0.80 |
| Last season | Sherbrooke Phœnix | QMJHL | 64 | 14 | 45 | 59 | 0.92 |