GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #1995 overall

Luc Gauvreau

Left wing, 19.1 years old, Barrie Colts (OHL), 5′11″ 195 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

2%

Long shot

Scouting report

Luc Gauvreau is a 19-year-old left wing with Barrie Colts in the OHL, undrafted. He has 0 goals and 0 assists in 5 games, 0.00 a game, which works out to about 0 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 1.7 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. And the five best scorers around him average only 0.45 points a game. He's producing without much support, and the model bumps him up for it. Listed at 5-foot-11 and 195 pounds.

His most likely outcome is a long shot, on a small sample. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 2% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a small sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. First-liner<1%
  3. Middle-sixer<1%
  4. Fourth-liner2%
  5. Tweener4%
  6. AHLer8%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.00 P/GP

    0 G, 0 A in 5 games, OHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    0 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    +44%

    Credit for a weak offence or thin help

  4. 4Age

    19.1

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    None

    Passed over, read as a pick after the last one

  6. 6If he makes it

    32 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonBarrie ColtsOHL50000.00
Last seasonBarrie ColtsOHL250000.00