Prospect board, #1413 overall
Luc Plante
Left wing, 19.3 years old, Erie Otters (OHL), 5′11″ 176 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
7%
Scouting report
Luc Plante is a 19-year-old left wing with Erie Otters in the OHL, undrafted. He has 5 goals and 11 assists in 67 games, 0.24 a game, which works out to about 3 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Most of it is setting up other people. His team scores 2.0 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. And the five best scorers around him average only 0.61 points a game. Scoring without much help counts for more, so the model nudges him up. Listed at 5-foot-11 and 176 pounds.
The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 7% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner<1%
- Middle-sixer1%
- Fourth-liner7%
- Tweener10%
- AHLer31%
How he got there
1His line
0.24 P/GP
5 G, 11 A in 67 games, OHL
2League exchange rate
3 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+42%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
19.3
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
30 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last season | Erie Otters | OHL | 67 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 0.24 |