Prospect board, #1857 overall
Lukas Kaplan
Centre, 19.2 years old, Everett Silvertips (WHL)
Odds he's an NHL regular
1%
Scouting report
Lukas Kaplan is a 19-year-old centre with Everett Silvertips in the WHL, undrafted. He has 0 goals and 3 assists in 7 games, 0.43 a game, which works out to about 5 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 1.9 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. And the five best scorers around him average only 0.43 points a game. He's producing without much support, and the model bumps him up for it.
The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 1% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner<1%
- Middle-sixer<1%
- Fourth-liner1%
- Tweener1%
- AHLer23%
How he got there
1His line
0.43 P/GP
0 G, 3 A in 7 games, WHL
2League exchange rate
5 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+44%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
19.2
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
38 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Everett Silvertips | WHL | 7 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0.43 |
| Last season | Everett Silvertips | WHL | 60 | 10 | 13 | 23 | 0.38 |