Prospect board, #713 overall
Luke Christopherson
Defence, 17.4 years old, Portland Winterhawks (WHL)
Odds he's an NHL regular
18%
Scouting report
Luke Christopherson is a 17-year-old defenceman with Portland Winterhawks in the WHL. He has 0 goals and 1 assist in 8 games, 0.12 a game, which works out to about 1 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 2.5 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. And the five best scorers around him average only 0.68 points a game. He's producing without much support, and the model bumps him up for it.
The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him an 18% chance of becoming an NHL regular and 4% of a top-pair career. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- Top-pair4%
- Second-pair6%
- Third-pair18%
- Tweener23%
- AHLer36%
How he got there
1His line
0.13 P/GP
0 G, 1 A in 8 games, WHL
2League exchange rate
1 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+22%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
17.4
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Not yet eligible, judged on his numbers
6If he makes it
27 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Portland Winterhawks | WHL | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.13 |
| Last season | Portland Winterhawks | WHL | 35 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.06 |