Lyndon Cabral

Right wing, 17.1 years old, Erie Otters (OHL), 5′10″ 182 lb, shoots right

Odds he's an NHL regular

41%

Tweener

Scouting report

Lyndon Cabral is a 17-year-old right wing with Erie Otters in the OHL. He has 0 goals and 0 assists in 7 games, 0.00 a game, which works out to about 0 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 2.0 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. And the five best scorers around him average only 0.61 points a game. Scoring without much help counts for more, so the model nudges him up.

At 17.1 he is among the youngest regulars in the league, and age matters more than any single stat in these projections. Listed at 5-foot-10 and 182 pounds. His most likely outcome is a tweener, on a small sample. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 41% chance of becoming an NHL regular, 17% of a first-line career and 9% of turning into one of the league's best. If he makes it, figure about 48 points a season at his best. His odds move most with next season's line, so a big jump would matter more than a repeat.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a small sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

Elite9%
First-liner17%
Middle-sixer22%
Fourth-liner41%
Tweener (most likely)50%
AHLer58%

How he got there

1His line
0.00 P/GP
0 G, 0 A in 7 games, OHL
2League exchange rate
0 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+42%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
17.1
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Not yet eligible, judged on his numbers
6If he makes it
48 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

Season	Team	League	GP	G	A	P	P/GP
Last season	Erie Otters	OHL	7	0	0	0	0.00