Prospect board, #21 overall
Madden Daneault
Centre, 15.4 years old, Kelowna Rockets (WHL)
Odds he's an NHL regular
67%
Scouting report
Madden Daneault is a 15-year-old centre with Kelowna Rockets in the WHL. He has 3 goals and 7 assists in 8 games, 1.25 a game, which works out to about 14 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Most of it is setting up other people.
At 15.4 he is among the youngest regulars in the league, and age matters more than any single stat in these projections. His most likely outcome is a middle-sixer, on a small sample. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 67% chance of becoming an NHL regular, 40% of a first-line career and 32% of turning into one of the league's best. If he makes it, figure about 63 points a season at his best. Moving up a tier would take scoring well above his league's top-line rate.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a small sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite32%
- First-liner40%
- Middle-sixer (most likely)57%
- Fourth-liner67%
- Tweener78%
- AHLer88%
How he got there
1His line
1.25 P/GP
3 G, 7 A in 8 games, WHL
2League exchange rate
15 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+4%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
15.4
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Not yet eligible, judged on his numbers
6If he makes it
63 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Kelowna Rockets | WHL | 8 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 1.25 |