Prospect board, #44 overall
Maddox Schultz
Centre, 16.5 years old, Regina Pats (WHL)
Odds he's an NHL regular
66%
Scouting report
Maddox Schultz is a 16-year-old centre with Regina Pats in the WHL. He has 3 goals and 7 assists in 8 games, 1.25 a game, which works out to about 14 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Most of it is setting up other people. That is up from 0.85 a game last season.
At 16.5 he is among the youngest regulars in the league, and age matters more than any single stat in these projections. The model's median outcome for him is a fourth-liner, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 66% chance of becoming an NHL regular, 27% of a first-line career and 15% of turning into one of the league's best. If he makes it, figure about 52 points a season at his best. A fourth-line job tends to come from penalty killing and faceoffs more than from scoring.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite15%
- First-liner27%
- Middle-sixer48%
- Fourth-liner (most likely)66%
- Tweener75%
- AHLer85%
How he got there
1His line
1.25 P/GP
3 G, 7 A in 8 games, WHL
2League exchange rate
15 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−9%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
16.5
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Not yet eligible, judged on his numbers
6If he makes it
52 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Regina Pats | WHL | 8 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 1.25 |
| Last season | Regina Pats | WHL | 34 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 0.85 |