Prospect board, #638 overall
Mason Roy
Defence, 18.2 years old, Brampton Steelheads (OHL), 6′1″ 172 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
16%
Scouting report
Mason Roy is an 18-year-old defenceman with Brampton Steelheads in the OHL. He has 0 goals and 0 assists in 10 games, 0.00 a game, which works out to about 0 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate.
That is down from 0.20 a game last season, and the projection drops with it. His team scores 2.5 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. And the five best scorers around him average only 0.80 points a game. He's producing without much support, and the model bumps him up for it. Listed at 6-foot-1 and 172 pounds. The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 16% chance of becoming an NHL regular and 3% of a top-pair career. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite1%
- Top-pair3%
- Second-pair11%
- Third-pair16%
- Tweener28%
- AHLer38%
How he got there
1His line
0.00 P/GP
0 G, 0 A in 10 games, OHL
2League exchange rate
0 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+26%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
18.2
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Not yet eligible, judged on his numbers
6If he makes it
32 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Brampton Steelheads | OHL | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Last season | Brampton Steelheads | OHL | 45 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 0.20 |