Prospect board, #1635 overall
Mathis Dufour
Right wing, 19.6 years old, Chicoutimi Saguenéens (QMJHL), 5′10″ 172 lb, shoots right
Odds he's an NHL regular
3%
Scouting report
Mathis Dufour is a 19-year-old right wing with Chicoutimi Saguenéens in the QMJHL, undrafted. He has 6 goals and 6 assists in 11 games, 1.09 a game, which works out to about 10 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Most of it is goals. Listed at 5-foot-10 and 172 pounds.
The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, on a small sample. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 3% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a small sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner1%
- Middle-sixer2%
- Fourth-liner3%
- Tweener7%
- AHLer12%
How he got there
1His line
1.09 P/GP
6 G, 6 A in 11 games, QMJHL
2League exchange rate
10 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+5%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
19.6
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
43 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Chicoutimi Saguenéens | QMJHL | 11 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 1.09 |