Prospect board, #1384 overall
Mathys Dubé
Centre, 19.9 years old, Rimouski Océanic (QMJHL), 5′11″ 188 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
7%
Scouting report
Mathys Dubé is a 19-year-old centre with Rimouski Océanic in the QMJHL, undrafted. He has 12 goals and 8 assists in 11 games, 1.82 a game, which works out to about 17 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Most of it is goals. That is up from 0.67 a game last season. At 19.9 he is old for the league, so the model expects him to outscore younger players and gives less credit for it. Listed at 5-foot-11 and 188 pounds.
His most likely outcome is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 7% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner1%
- Middle-sixer2%
- Fourth-liner7%
- Tweener8%
- AHLer27%
How he got there
1His line
1.82 P/GP
12 G, 8 A in 11 games, QMJHL
2League exchange rate
17 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−9%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
19.9
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
35 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Rimouski Océanic | QMJHL | 11 | 12 | 8 | 20 | 1.82 |
| Last season | Rimouski Océanic | QMJHL | 64 | 22 | 21 | 43 | 0.67 |