Matt DiMarsico

Left wing, 22.7 years old, Colorado Eagles (AHL), 6′0″ 180 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

11%

AHLer

Scouting report

Matt DiMarsico is a 22-year-old left wing with Colorado Eagles in the AHL. He has 0 goals and 2 assists in 6 games, 0.33 a game, which works out to about 11 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 6-foot-0 and 180 pounds.

His most likely outcome is an AHLer, on a small sample. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him an 11% chance of becoming an NHL regular. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a small sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

Elite<1%
First-liner<1%
Middle-sixer3%
Fourth-liner11%
Tweener17%
AHLer (most likely)52%

How he got there

1His line
0.33 P/GP
0 G, 2 A in 6 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
11 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+5%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
22.7
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
31 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

Season	Team	League	GP	G	A	P	P/GP
This season	Colorado Eagles	AHL	6	0	2	2	0.33
Last season	Colorado Eagles	AHL	7	1	2	3	0.43