Prospect board, #1535 overall
Matthew Butler
Centre, 20.3 years old, Charlottetown Islanders (QMJHL), 5′7″ 171 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
4%
Scouting report
Matthew Butler is a 20-year-old centre with Charlottetown Islanders in the QMJHL, undrafted. He has 3 goals and 14 assists in 13 games, 1.31 a game, which works out to about 12 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Most of it is setting up other people. That is up from 0.85 a game last season. At 20.3 he is old for the league, so the model expects him to outscore younger players and gives less credit for it. Listed at 5-foot-7 and 171 pounds.
The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 4% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner1%
- Middle-sixer2%
- Fourth-liner4%
- Tweener5%
- AHLer25%
How he got there
1His line
1.31 P/GP
3 G, 14 A in 13 games, QMJHL
2League exchange rate
12 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+9%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
20.3
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
42 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Charlottetown Islanders | QMJHL | 13 | 3 | 14 | 17 | 1.31 |
| Last season | Charlottetown Islanders | QMJHL | 60 | 13 | 38 | 51 | 0.85 |