Prospect board, #667 overall
Matthew Manza
Right wing, 19.0 years old, Sarnia Sting (OHL), 6′0″ 178 lb, shoots right
Odds he's an NHL regular
16%
Scouting report
Matthew Manza is an 18-year-old right wing with Sarnia Sting in the OHL. He has 4 goals and 3 assists in 12 games, 0.58 a game, which works out to about 7 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 6-foot-0 and 178 pounds.
His most likely outcome is a long shot, with plenty of games behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 16% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a full sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner2%
- Middle-sixer10%
- Fourth-liner16%
- Tweener24%
- AHLer48%
How he got there
1His line
0.58 P/GP
4 G, 3 A in 12 games, OHL
2League exchange rate
7 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−9%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
19.0
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Not yet eligible, judged on his numbers
6If he makes it
40 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Sarnia Sting | OHL | 12 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 0.58 |
| Last season | Sarnia Sting | OHL | 67 | 13 | 21 | 34 | 0.51 |