Prospect board, #69 overall
Matthew Perreault
Defence, 17.1 years old, Peterborough Petes (OHL), 6′0″ 178 lb, shoots right
Odds he's an NHL regular
58%
Scouting report
Matthew Perreault is a 17-year-old defenceman with Peterborough Petes in the OHL. He has 0 goals and 4 assists in 12 games, 0.33 a game, which works out to about 4 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate.
At 17.1 he is among the youngest regulars in the league, and age matters more than any single stat in these projections. Listed at 6-foot-0 and 178 pounds. His most likely outcome is a third-pair defenceman, with plenty of games behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 58% chance of becoming an NHL regular, 21% of a top-pair career and 16% of turning into one of the league's best. If he makes it, figure about 36 points a season at his best. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. A third-pair job tends to come down to defending more than points.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a full sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite16%
- Top-pair21%
- Second-pair34%
- Third-pair (most likely)58%
- Tweener69%
- AHLer80%
How he got there
1His line
0.33 P/GP
0 G, 4 A in 12 games, OHL
2League exchange rate
4 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
No change
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
17.1
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Not yet eligible, judged on his numbers
6If he makes it
36 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Peterborough Petes | OHL | 12 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0.33 |
| Last season | Peterborough Petes | OHL | 65 | 5 | 25 | 30 | 0.46 |