Prospect board, #893 overall
Matys St-Gelais
Left wing, 17.6 years old, Baie-Comeau Drakkar (QMJHL), 5′11″ 186 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
11%
Scouting report
Matys St-Gelais is a 17-year-old left wing with Baie-Comeau Drakkar in the QMJHL. He has 1 goal and 0 assists in 10 games, 0.10 a game, which works out to about 1 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 2.0 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. And the five best scorers around him average only 0.60 points a game. Scoring without much help counts for more, so the model nudges him up. Listed at 5-foot-11 and 186 pounds.
His most likely outcome is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him an 11% chance of becoming an NHL regular and 3% of a first-line career. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner3%
- Middle-sixer4%
- Fourth-liner11%
- Tweener18%
- AHLer40%
How he got there
1His line
0.10 P/GP
1 G, 0 A in 10 games, QMJHL
2League exchange rate
1 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+44%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
17.6
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Not yet eligible, judged on his numbers
6If he makes it
38 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Baie-Comeau Drakkar | QMJHL | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.10 |
| Last season | Baie-Comeau Drakkar | QMJHL | 45 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 0.13 |