Maxime Sauthier

Centre, 18.4 years old, Val-d'Or Foreurs (QMJHL), 6′2″ 181 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

10%

AHLer

Scouting report

Maxime Sauthier is an 18-year-old centre with Val-d'Or Foreurs in the QMJHL. He has 13 goals and 4 assists in 12 games, 1.42 a game, which works out to about 13 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Most of it is goals. That is up from 0.41 a game last season. Listed at 6-foot-2 and 181 pounds.

The model's median outcome for him is an AHLer, with plenty of games behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 10% chance of becoming an NHL regular. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a full sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

Elite1%
First-liner2%
Middle-sixer4%
Fourth-liner10%
Tweener22%
AHLer (most likely)52%

How he got there

1His line
1.42 P/GP
13 G, 4 A in 12 games, QMJHL
2League exchange rate
13 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
No change
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
18.4
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Not yet eligible, judged on his numbers
6If he makes it
40 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

Season	Team	League	GP	G	A	P	P/GP
This season	Val-d'Or Foreurs	QMJHL	12	13	4	17	1.42
Last season	Cape Breton Eagles	QMJHL	64	13	13	26	0.41