GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #1903 overall

Mikhail Zakharov

Centre, 19.2 years old, London Knights (OHL), 6′6″ 180 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

2%

Long shot

Scouting report

Mikhail Zakharov is a 19-year-old centre with London Knights in the OHL, undrafted. He has 1 goal and 0 assists in 8 games, 0.12 a game, which works out to about 2 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 4.3 a game, one of the better offences around. Linemates like that pad a stat line, so the model takes some of his points back. Listed at 6-foot-6 and 180 pounds.

His most likely outcome is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 2% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. First-liner<1%
  3. Middle-sixer<1%
  4. Fourth-liner2%
  5. Tweener4%
  6. AHLer11%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.13 P/GP

    1 G, 0 A in 8 games, OHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    2 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    −16%

    Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster

  4. 4Age

    19.2

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    None

    Passed over, read as a pick after the last one

  6. 6If he makes it

    33 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonLondon KnightsOHL81010.13
Last seasonLondon KnightsOHL502570.14