GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #887 overall

Miko Matikka

Forward, 22.9 years old, Tucson Roadrunners (AHL), 6′3″ 218 lb, shoots right

Odds he's an NHL regular

10%

AHLer

Scouting report

Miko Matikka is a 22-year-old forward with Tucson Roadrunners in the AHL. He has 5 goals and 7 assists in 51 games, 0.24 a game, which works out to about 8 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 6-foot-3 and 218 pounds.

The model's median outcome for him is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 10% chance of becoming an NHL regular. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. First-liner<1%
  3. Middle-sixer<1%
  4. Fourth-liner10%
  5. Tweener16%
  6. AHLer (most likely)76%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.24 P/GP

    5 G, 7 A in 51 games, AHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    8 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    No change

    Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster

  4. 4Age

    22.9

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    None

    Passed over, read as a pick after the last one

  6. 6If he makes it

    27 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
Last seasonTucson RoadrunnersAHL5157120.24