Prospect board, #1011 overall
Miroslav Holinka
Centre, 20.9 years old, Toronto Marlies (AHL), 6′2″ 198 lb, shoots right
Odds he's an NHL regular
9%
Scouting report
Miroslav Holinka is a 20-year-old centre with Toronto Marlies in the AHL. He has 1 goal and 0 assists in 4 games, 0.25 a game, which works out to about 8 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. The five best scorers around him average 1.39 points a game, well above the norm. Linemates like that pad a stat line, so the model takes some of his points back.
At 20.9 he is among the youngest regulars in the league, and age matters more than any single stat in these projections. Listed at 6-foot-2 and 198 pounds. His most likely outcome is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 9% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner3%
- Middle-sixer4%
- Fourth-liner9%
- Tweener10%
- AHLer43%
How he got there
1His line
0.25 P/GP
1 G, 0 A in 4 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
8 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−19%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
20.9
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
40 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Toronto Marlies | AHL | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.25 |
| Last season | Edmonton Oil Kings | WHL | 59 | 37 | 43 | 80 | 1.36 |
| Last season | Toronto Marlies | AHL | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1.00 |