Prospect board, #2052 overall
Natan Éthier
Left wing, 21.4 years old, Saint John Sea Dogs (QMJHL), 6′1″ 161 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
2%
Scouting report
Natan Éthier is a 21-year-old left wing with Saint John Sea Dogs in the QMJHL, undrafted. He has 2 goals and 4 assists in 10 games, 0.60 a game, which works out to about 6 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. At 21.4 he is old for the league, so the model expects him to outscore younger players and gives less credit for it. Listed at 6-foot-1 and 161 pounds.
The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, on a small sample. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 2% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a small sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner<1%
- Middle-sixer1%
- Fourth-liner2%
- Tweener2%
- AHLer4%
How he got there
1His line
0.60 P/GP
2 G, 4 A in 10 games, QMJHL
2League exchange rate
6 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+2%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
21.4
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
46 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last season | Saint John Sea Dogs | QMJHL | 10 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 0.60 |