GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #1460 overall

Nathan Lecompte

Centre, 19.7 years old, Chicoutimi Saguenéens (QMJHL), 5′10″ 171 lb, shoots right

Odds he's an NHL regular

4%

Long shot

Scouting report

Nathan Lecompte is a 19-year-old centre with Chicoutimi Saguenéens in the QMJHL, undrafted. He has 6 goals and 10 assists in 11 games, 1.45 a game, which works out to about 14 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. That is up from 1.03 a game last season. At 19.7 he is old for the league, so the model expects him to outscore younger players and gives less credit for it. Listed at 5-foot-10 and 171 pounds.

His most likely outcome is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 4% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. First-liner1%
  3. Middle-sixer2%
  4. Fourth-liner4%
  5. Tweener6%
  6. AHLer27%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    1.45 P/GP

    6 G, 10 A in 11 games, QMJHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    14 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    +8%

    Credit for a weak offence or thin help

  4. 4Age

    19.7

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    None

    Passed over, read as a pick after the last one

  6. 6If he makes it

    43 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonChicoutimi SaguenéensQMJHL11610161.45
Last seasonChicoutimi SaguenéensQMJHL612736631.03