Prospect board, #646 overall
Nick Bogas
Defence, 18.1 years old, Flint Firebirds (OHL), 6′0″ 195 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
25%
Scouting report
Nick Bogas is an 18-year-old defenceman with Flint Firebirds in the OHL. He has 1 goal and 5 assists in 9 games, 0.67 a game, which works out to about 8 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 6-foot-0 and 195 pounds.
His most likely outcome is a long shot, on a small sample. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 25% chance of becoming an NHL regular. If he makes it, figure about 21 points a season at his best. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a small sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- Top-pair1%
- Second-pair4%
- Third-pair25%
- Tweener31%
- AHLer44%
How he got there
1His line
0.67 P/GP
1 G, 5 A in 9 games, OHL
2League exchange rate
8 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−10%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
18.1
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Not yet eligible, judged on his numbers
6If he makes it
21 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Flint Firebirds | OHL | 9 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 0.67 |