GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #673 overall

Nico Myatovic

Left wing, 21.8 years old, San Diego Gulls (AHL), 6′3″ 200 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

16%

AHLer

Scouting report

Nico Myatovic is a 21-year-old left wing with San Diego Gulls in the AHL. He has 4 goals and 2 assists in 7 games, 0.86 a game, which works out to about 27 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 2.7 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. He's producing without much support, and the model bumps him up for it. Listed at 6-foot-3 and 200 pounds.

The model's median outcome for him is an AHLer, with plenty of games behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 16% chance of becoming an NHL regular. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a full sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. First-liner<1%
  3. Middle-sixer2%
  4. Fourth-liner16%
  5. Tweener23%
  6. AHLer (most likely)93%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.86 P/GP

    4 G, 2 A in 7 games, AHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    27 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    +26%

    Credit for a weak offence or thin help

  4. 4Age

    21.8

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    None

    Passed over, read as a pick after the last one

  6. 6If he makes it

    28 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonSan Diego GullsAHL74260.86
Last seasonSan Diego GullsAHL71712190.27