GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #981 overall

Nic Whitehead

Centre, 19.6 years old, Ottawa 67's (OHL), 5′11″ 167 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

8%

AHLer

Scouting report

Nic Whitehead is a 19-year-old centre with Ottawa 67's in the OHL, undrafted. He has 4 goals and 4 assists in 10 games, 0.80 a game, which works out to about 9 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Most of it is goals. At 19.6 he is old for the league, so the model expects him to outscore younger players and gives less credit for it. Listed at 5-foot-11 and 167 pounds.

His most likely outcome is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him an 8% chance of becoming an NHL regular. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. First-liner2%
  3. Middle-sixer3%
  4. Fourth-liner8%
  5. Tweener13%
  6. AHLer (most likely)53%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.80 P/GP

    4 G, 4 A in 10 games, OHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    9 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    No change

    Credit for a weak offence or thin help

  4. 4Age

    19.6

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    None

    Passed over, read as a pick after the last one

  6. 6If he makes it

    37 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonOttawa 67'sOHL104480.80
Last seasonOttawa 67'sOHL642538630.98