GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #6 overall

Nikita Klepov

Right wing, 18.2 years old, Saginaw Spirit (OHL), 6′0″ 180 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

87%

First-liner

Scouting report

Nikita Klepov is an 18-year-old right wing with Saginaw Spirit in the OHL. He has 37 goals and 60 assists in 67 games, 1.45 a game, which works out to about 17 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 3.0 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. He's producing without much support, and the model bumps him up for it. Listed at 6-foot-0 and 180 pounds.

His most likely outcome is a first-liner, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him an 87% chance of becoming an NHL regular, 73% of a first-line career and 35% of turning into one of the league's best. If he makes it, figure about 66 points a season at his best. If the scoring holds up against older players, the first-line odds go up with it.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite35%
  2. First-liner (most likely)73%
  3. Middle-sixer73%
  4. Fourth-liner87%
  5. Tweener93%
  6. AHLer95%+

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    1.45 P/GP

    37 G, 60 A in 67 games, OHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    17 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    +14%

    Credit for a weak offence or thin help

  4. 4Age

    18.2

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    None

    Not yet eligible, judged on his numbers

  6. 6If he makes it

    66 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
Last seasonSaginaw SpiritOHL673760971.45