GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #1119 overall

Nikolas Rossetto

Right wing, 18.1 years old, Brantford Bulldogs (OHL), 5′9″ 162 lb, shoots right

Odds he's an NHL regular

8%

Long shot

Scouting report

Nikolas Rossetto is an 18-year-old right wing with Brantford Bulldogs in the OHL. He has 6 goals and 3 assists in 49 games, 0.18 a game, which works out to about 2 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Most of it is goals. His team scores 4.6 a game, one of the better offences around. And the five best scorers around him average 1.42 points a game, well above the norm. Some of those points come from the company he keeps, and the model discounts them. Listed at 5-foot-9 and 162 pounds.

His most likely outcome is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him an 8% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. First-liner1%
  3. Middle-sixer2%
  4. Fourth-liner8%
  5. Tweener18%
  6. AHLer31%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.18 P/GP

    6 G, 3 A in 49 games, OHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    2 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    −24%

    Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster

  4. 4Age

    18.1

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    None

    Not yet eligible, judged on his numbers

  6. 6If he makes it

    35 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
Last seasonBrantford BulldogsOHL496390.18