Prospect board, #187 overall
Noah Laus
Left wing, 17.6 years old, Soo Greyhounds (OHL), 6′1″ 193 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
40%
Scouting report
Noah Laus is a 17-year-old left wing with Soo Greyhounds in the OHL. He has 7 goals and 5 assists in 11 games, 1.09 a game, which works out to about 13 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Most of it is goals. That is up from 0.43 a game last season. Listed at 6-foot-1 and 193 pounds.
His most likely outcome is a tweener, with plenty of games behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 40% chance of becoming an NHL regular, 8% of a first-line career and 4% of turning into one of the league's best. If he makes it, figure about 40 points a season at his best. His odds move most with next season's line, so a big jump would matter more than a repeat.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a full sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite4%
- First-liner8%
- Middle-sixer19%
- Fourth-liner40%
- Tweener (most likely)56%
- AHLer73%
How he got there
1His line
1.09 P/GP
7 G, 5 A in 11 games, OHL
2League exchange rate
13 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+13%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
17.6
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Not yet eligible, judged on his numbers
6If he makes it
41 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Soo Greyhounds | OHL | 11 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 1.09 |
| Last season | Soo Greyhounds | OHL | 68 | 12 | 17 | 29 | 0.43 |