GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #918 overall

Noah Powell

Forward, 21.6 years old, Lehigh Valley Phantoms (AHL), 6′2″ 216 lb, shoots right

Odds he's an NHL regular

11%

AHLer

Scouting report

Noah Powell is a 21-year-old forward with Lehigh Valley Phantoms in the AHL. He has 1 goal and 0 assists in 5 games, 0.20 a game, which works out to about 6 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 6-foot-2 and 216 pounds.

His most likely outcome is an AHLer, on a small sample. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him an 11% chance of becoming an NHL regular. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a small sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. First-liner1%
  3. Middle-sixer3%
  4. Fourth-liner11%
  5. Tweener18%
  6. AHLer (most likely)51%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.20 P/GP

    1 G, 0 A in 5 games, AHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    6 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    −10%

    Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster

  4. 4Age

    21.6

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    None

    Passed over, read as a pick after the last one

  6. 6If he makes it

    33 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonLehigh Valley PhantomsAHL51010.20
Last seasonLehigh Valley PhantomsAHL162240.25