Prospect board, #1993 overall
Noah Roberts
Defence, 20.8 years old, Owen Sound Attack (OHL), 6′1″ 199 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
2%
Scouting report
Noah Roberts is a 20-year-old defenceman with Owen Sound Attack in the OHL, undrafted. He has 6 goals and 6 assists in 65 games, 0.18 a game, which works out to about 2 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Most of it is goals. At 20.8 he is old for the league, so the model expects him to outscore younger players and gives less credit for it. Listed at 6-foot-1 and 199 pounds.
His most likely outcome is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 2% chance of becoming an NHL regular. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- Top-pair<1%
- Second-pair<1%
- Third-pair2%
- Tweener3%
- AHLer12%
How he got there
1His line
0.18 P/GP
6 G, 6 A in 65 games, OHL
2League exchange rate
2 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
No change
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
20.8
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
23 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last season | Owen Sound Attack | OHL | 65 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 0.18 |