Prospect board, #706 overall
Noah Steen
Left wing, 22.1 years old, Syracuse Crunch (AHL), 6′1″ 197 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
17%
Scouting report
Noah Steen is a 22-year-old left wing with Syracuse Crunch in the AHL. He has 1 goal and 0 assists in 5 games, 0.20 a game, which works out to about 6 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 2.3 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. And the five best scorers around him average only 0.69 points a game. He's producing without much support, and the model bumps him up for it. Listed at 6-foot-1 and 197 pounds.
His most likely outcome is an AHLer, on a small sample. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 17% chance of becoming an NHL regular. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a small sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner2%
- Middle-sixer5%
- Fourth-liner17%
- Tweener23%
- AHLer (most likely)58%
How he got there
1His line
0.20 P/GP
1 G, 0 A in 5 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
6 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+28%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
22.1
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
33 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Syracuse Crunch | AHL | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.20 |
| Last season | Syracuse Crunch | AHL | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.20 |