Prospect board, #593 overall
Noel Nordh
Forward, 21.6 years old, Tucson Roadrunners (AHL), 6′2″ 198 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
19%
Scouting report
Noel Nordh is a 21-year-old forward with Tucson Roadrunners in the AHL. He has 6 goals and 15 assists in 60 games, 0.35 a game, which works out to about 11 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Most of it is setting up other people. Listed at 6-foot-2 and 198 pounds.
His most likely outcome is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 19% chance of becoming an NHL regular. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner1%
- Middle-sixer3%
- Fourth-liner19%
- Tweener28%
- AHLer (most likely)95%
How he got there
1His line
0.35 P/GP
6 G, 15 A in 60 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
11 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
No change
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
21.6
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
30 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last season | Tucson Roadrunners | AHL | 60 | 6 | 15 | 21 | 0.35 |