GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #95 overall

Oleg Kulebiakin

Right wing, 18.7 years old, Halifax Mooseheads (QMJHL), 5′11″ 175 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

42%

Tweener

Scouting report

Oleg Kulebiakin is an 18-year-old right wing with Halifax Mooseheads in the QMJHL. He has 2 goals and 5 assists in 8 games, 0.88 a game, which works out to about 8 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 5-foot-11 and 175 pounds.

The model's median outcome for him is a tweener, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 42% chance of becoming an NHL regular, 19% of a first-line career and 15% of turning into one of the league's best. If he makes it, figure about 56 points a season at his best. His odds move most with next season's line, so a big jump would matter more than a repeat.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite15%
  2. First-liner19%
  3. Middle-sixer32%
  4. Fourth-liner42%
  5. Tweener (most likely)51%
  6. AHLer78%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.88 P/GP

    2 G, 5 A in 8 games, QMJHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    8 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    +3%

    Credit for a weak offence or thin help

  4. 4Age

    18.7

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    None

    Not yet eligible, judged on his numbers

  6. 6If he makes it

    57 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonHalifax MooseheadsQMJHL82570.88
Last seasonHalifax MooseheadsQMJHL642944731.14