Prospect board, #102 overall
Olivier Charron
Centre, 16.9 years old, Shawinigan Cataractes (QMJHL), 5′10″ 195 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
43%
Scouting report
Olivier Charron is a 16-year-old centre with Shawinigan Cataractes in the QMJHL. He has 4 goals and 3 assists in 10 games, 0.70 a game, which works out to about 6 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate.
At 16.9 he is among the youngest regulars in the league, and age matters more than any single stat in these projections. Listed at 5-foot-10 and 195 pounds. His most likely outcome is a tweener, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 43% chance of becoming an NHL regular, 22% of a first-line career and 14% of turning into one of the league's best. If he makes it, figure about 54 points a season at his best. His odds move most with next season's line, so a big jump would matter more than a repeat.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite14%
- First-liner22%
- Middle-sixer26%
- Fourth-liner43%
- Tweener (most likely)53%
- AHLer67%
How he got there
1His line
0.70 P/GP
4 G, 3 A in 10 games, QMJHL
2League exchange rate
7 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+6%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
16.9
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Not yet eligible, judged on his numbers
6If he makes it
54 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Shawinigan Cataractes | QMJHL | 10 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 0.70 |
| Last season | Shawinigan Cataractes | QMJHL | 28 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 0.54 |