Prospect board, #961 overall
Olivier Groulx
Centre, 19.1 years old, Saint John Sea Dogs (QMJHL), 6′1″ 198 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
7%
Scouting report
Olivier Groulx is a 19-year-old centre with Saint John Sea Dogs in the QMJHL, undrafted. He has 2 goals and 6 assists in 11 games, 0.73 a game, which works out to about 7 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Most of it is setting up other people.
That is down from 1.03 a game last season, and the projection drops with it. His team scores 3.2 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. Scoring without much help counts for more, so the model nudges him up. Listed at 6-foot-1 and 198 pounds. The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 7% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite1%
- First-liner3%
- Middle-sixer6%
- Fourth-liner7%
- Tweener12%
- AHLer42%
How he got there
1His line
0.73 P/GP
2 G, 6 A in 11 games, QMJHL
2League exchange rate
7 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+12%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
19.1
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
54 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Saint John Sea Dogs | QMJHL | 11 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 0.73 |
| Last season | Saint John Sea Dogs | QMJHL | 64 | 20 | 46 | 66 | 1.03 |