Prospect board, #2232 overall
Olivier Metcalfe
Centre, 19.6 years old, Blainville-Boisbriand Armada (QMJHL), 5′8″ 163 lb, shoots right
Odds he's an NHL regular
<1%
Scouting report
Olivier Metcalfe is a 19-year-old centre with Blainville-Boisbriand Armada in the QMJHL, undrafted. He has 3 goals and 5 assists in 33 games, 0.24 a game, which works out to about 2 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 4.2 a game, one of the better offences around. And the five best scorers around him average 1.23 points a game, well above the norm. Some of those points come from the company he keeps, and the model discounts them. Listed at 5-foot-8 and 163 pounds.
The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, on a small sample. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a under 1% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a small sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner<1%
- Middle-sixer<1%
- Fourth-liner<1%
- Tweener1%
- AHLer8%
How he got there
1His line
0.24 P/GP
3 G, 5 A in 33 games, QMJHL
2League exchange rate
2 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−17%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
19.6
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
5 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last season | Blainville-Boisbriand Armada | QMJHL | 33 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 0.24 |